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Updated January 30, 2024

A Market of Potential - Norway’s Online Casino Sphere

TL;DR

The statistics are clear: Norway’s gambling industry is growing and shows fantastic potential for further expansion. Based on the numbers given by Statista,...

A Market of Potential - Norway’s Online Casino Sphere

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The statistics are clear: Norway’s gambling industry is growing and shows fantastic potential for further expansion. Based on the numbers given by Statista, the annual growth rate is expected to reach 5.03% (CAGR 2024-2038), with the market having over 300,000 active users by 2028. These numbers may seem relatively small compared to gambling stalwarts like the United Kingdom, where over 43% of the population gambles in some form on a monthly basis. Even in Canada, which represents a relatively minor market, over a third of the population gambles online regularly. But the key piece of information is that Norway’s gambling industry is severely limited. It currently features a state gambling monopoly, which means only a small selected number of state-owned companies (two, in fact!) are allowed to operate in the country. However, the European Gaming and Betting Association (EGBA) is putting an increasing amount of pressure on the Norwegian government to change the current state of affairs. EGBA favours the common licensing model, which allows private companies to apply for government-regulated licenses to operate legally. What is clear is that Norwegians like to gamble online, which the numbers make abundantly clear. Considering the limited options players have, the official figures show that there is a lot of untapped potential in the Norwegian market.

Do the Statistics Reflect the True Figures?

The ‘official’ numbers simply track how much Norwegians gamble on the official sites, i.e. Lottery Norsk Tipping or Norsk Rikstoto. But beyond the state monopoly, punters can also legally gamble on websites based abroad. For example, Https://www.casinospesialisten.net/ gives players a full list of legitimate sites specifically geared towards ‘local’ Norwegian players. They can operate legally because their licenses are held with other European governments, making them above board and fully regulated. Therefore, the true number of players based in Norway who like the occasional game of blackjack or roulette is far higher. They’re just not in the official government-provided numbers. Gambling in this manner may take a hit in the short-term, however, with the Ministry of Culture and Equality announcing a plan to ban foreign online casinos by implementing a DNS ban. This means that many (although not all) gambling websites will no longer be easily available for local players. Instead of seeing their favourite casino games, Norwegian ISPs will be forced to re-direct users to a government-approved website announcing the ban. Yet access to these sites will remain legal for individual players. And there is a very easy way to circumvent these DNS bans. The answer? The commonly used VPN, or virtual private network. It allows users to be virtually based in another country, escaping the ban. In Norway, the adoption rate of VPN services is already on the increase, with a 50% increase in VPN service downloads in the last two years. With the technology also providing additional benefits, such as online anonymity and protection from hackers, many Norwegians already use a VPN by default.

Why Licensing Benefits Players

Should Norwegian Lawmakers follow EGBA’s advice, there would be advantages for both players and the government itself. For players, it would mean greater choice and more competition. That means better deals/promotions, access to an improved product, and a wider range of games. It would represent a heightened user experience under the umbrella of government-licensed providers. The benefits also extend to the government, as it would increase tax revenue and would allow Norway to have more control, Not less. This seems paradoxical at first glance, but considering many Norwegian gamblers already turn to foreign-based websites, the licensing avenue would give the government a greater opportunity to ensure a safe gambling environment for players.

Will Norway Change Its Tune?

At present, it looks unlikely. The recent DNS ban reflects tighter control of the gambling market, and it does not look like the government will heed EGBA’s encouragement to transition to the popular licensing model. Yet Norwegian gamblers continue to hope that there will be better news on the horizon. After all, Finland and Sweden operate on the same basis, arguably very successfully. And considering the tax benefits, can the government ignore the public calls to change the status quo?

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